Biden Outpacing Trump in Wisconsin and Ohio Polls

Both surveys underscore that Biden’s ascendance in Midwest states that will be key to either candidate’s victory in November.

Former Vice President Joe Biden has widened his lead over President Donald Trump in Wisconsin and narrowly leads the president in Ohio, according to a pair of polls out Wednesday from two key swing states in the Midwest.

In Wisconsin, where Trump eked out a narrow victory in 2016 to flip the state from blue to red, Marquette University Law School poll found the former vice president up 8 percentage points over Trump, with 49 percent support to Trump’s 41 percent.

Joe Biden chipping away at Trump’s claims in Ohio and Wisconsin

In Ohio, a state Trump carried by 8 points in 2016 and which has voted for the eventual presidential winner for half a century, a new poll from Quinnipiac University found 46 of respondents favor Biden, compared to 45 percent who favor the president.

Both surveys underscore that Biden’s ascendance in Midwest states that will be key to either candidate’s victory in November. Both Wisconsin and Ohio were won by former President Barack Obama in 2012 before flipping to Trump in 2016.

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The two polls build on a raft of national polling in recent weeks showing Biden with a growing lead over Trump as the president grapples with responding to the coronavirus pandemic, the ensuing economic recession and mass protests for racial justice. One such poll released Wednesday morning showed the former vice president with a commanding 14-point lead over Trump nationwide. The Real Clear Politics average of polls gives Biden a 10-point national lead.

The latest numbers come as both men begin to ease back onto the physical campaign trail after a monthslong hiatus amid the pandemic. Last weekend Trump held his first rally since March and began limited travel again in May. Biden has also begun to venture out of his Delaware home for small in-person gatherings.

That the gap between Trump and Biden has grown in Wisconsin is especially notable considering that the last four Marquette polls showed a narrow race of no more than four points in head-to-head matchups. Biden’s lead in the Marquette poll is up five points relative to last month, when the same survey showed Biden with a 3 point lead. In February — before Biden revived his floundering campaign to lock up the Democratic nomination — Trump and Biden were tied at 46 percent.

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Trump losing support among Republicans in Ohio and Wisconsin

The Marquette survey found that Trump’s support among Republicans has decreased 10 points since May, from 93 percent to 83 percent, and that independents flipped to prefer Biden over Trump 38-30.

Both polls found Trump’s approval rating underwater in both states, with Trump’s overall job approval dipping for the third straight month in Wisconsin to 45 percent, with 51 percent disapproval. The Quinnipiac poll showed a significant split in the approval/disapproval ratings of Trump versus Ohio Republican Gov. Mike DeWine — 44-53 percent and 75-19 percent, respectively.

The Quinnipiac Poll surveyed 1,139 self-identified registered voters in Ohio from June 18-22, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points. The Marquette Law School poll interviewed 805 registered Wisconsin voters by landline or cell phone from June 14-18. Results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.

Joe Biden Is Moving Up According to Recent Polls

Biden has been increasing his lead over Donald Trump in recent polls. What were sure fire states like Michigan, are now turning into battleground states. According to the EPIC-MIRA poll Biden is leading by 12 points 53-41 percentage points. Michigan voters are not satisfied with Trump’s handling with the pandemics and 58% of likely voters gave him a negative rating. Trump won MI in 2016 despite polls showing Clinton beating Trump by 10 points. Fox News has also released polls showing Trump trailing in Ohio, Wisconsin and Arizona, which Trump won in 2016.

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CNN politics has Biden at 50%. That’s a milestone that Clinton never reached. Trump is facing a really tough road to climb back on. Hillary Clinton never got close to 50%. Harry Enten, the CNN analyst compares the polls taken to Dewey VS Truman to further encapsulate that Biden has more support than Dewey did at the time. While Dewey had a higher percentage points, Biden had a 5 point swing in his favor, with more people committing to him at the time.

To make matters worse, Republicans are starting to be more negative about the outcome of the country. While they some haven’t gone all the way to wanting to admit to voting for Biden, like Ken Wilamowski, age 68, a retired general Motors Engineer they say that it’s gotten worse. Matthew Knight, age 48 says that he has some misgivings about how Trump’s been dealing with the black live matters protests. Trump’s been using strong rhetoric, such as telling people to dominate. A common theme, seems to be stated by Tom Singer, 57 year old probation officer, who says that while he finds the Trump administration’s presidency to be “dysfunctional” he still trusts Trump on the economy. That seems to be where they’re putting their money.

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This comes after a controversial letter released by Gen. Jim Mattis caused Lisa Murkowski to publicly question whether or not she will vote for Trump in the next election. In response, Trump pointed out some misgivings that he had about Murowski, and many other people who ran to the defense of Defense Secretary Mark Esper for saying no to the use of military use against protestors. Mattis crafted a letter saying that Trump was actively trying to subvert the constitution and that he was the first President that he had seen in his life-time that actively was working to divide people.

Joe Biden Promises To Make America Even Better

by Lawrence Lease July 12, 2020

GOP Hoping for Tucker Carlson 2024 Run

by Alexander Massaad July 3, 2020

Trump Finally Admits He’s Losing the 2020 Race

by Alexander Massaad June 28, 2020

Democrats Calling for Delegates to Stay Away from Convention

by Alexander Massaad June 25, 2020

Dems Start to Accept Biden’s Virtual Campaign

by Alexander Massaad June 25, 2020

Acting DHS Secretary Chad Wolf recently said on ABC “I do not think that we have a systemic racism problem with law enforcement officers across this country. Do I acknowledge that there are some law enforcement officers that abuse their jobs? Yes.” The cries of the protesters are voicing their complaints about the way that they’ve been treated. The protesters might view it differently. We’ll see in the polls in November.

It should be noted that this week, Joe Biden won the nomination. It remains to be seen how he’ll do in the general election.

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New Poll Shows 80% of Americans Believe Country Is Out of Control

Eight out of 10 voters, an overwhelming majority, say things are out of control in the country, according to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released Sunday.

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The poll revealed a partisan divide with 92 percent of Democrats believing the country is out of control compared to 66 percent of Republicans. Only 15 percent of those surveyed between May 28 and June 2 believe things are under control.

The survey was conducted after protests began across the country in response to the killing of George Floyd while under police custody in Minneapolis — and against the backdrop of the coronavirus pandemic, which has cost more than 100,000 Americans their lives and millions their jobs.

More than half of voters, 59 percent, also say they are more concerned about police actions and the death of Floyd, as opposed to 27 percent who are more concerned about protests that have turned destructive. Respondents were split between party lines, with 81 percent of Democratic voters saying they worried more over Floyd’s death in contrast to 29 percent of Republican voters.

Demonstrations have lasted throughout the past week in both big and small cities, with thousands marching in Washington, D.C. on Saturday in the biggest turnout yet.

On coronavirus, 63 percent of voters say they are “very” or “somewhat” worried that they or someone in their immediate family will get Covid-19, a 10-point decline from April’s poll. Two-thirds of respondents also said they were still uncomfortable with flying on a plane or attending gatherings in large groups.

In addition, many Americans still remain pessimistic about the economy. Thirty-five percent of voters said it will take until next year for the economy to return to normal with businesses reopen and people back at work, a jump from 26 percent in April. Seventeen percent said they think the economy will take longer than a year to recover, up from 6 percent.

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President Donald Trump’s approval rating has largely remained unchanged amid the crises at 45 percent, with 53 percent disapproving.

Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden maintained a national lead over Trump by seven points, 49 percent versus 42 percent among those surveyed.

A majority of voters — 55 percent — also said they would prefer a candidate who brings consensus and compromise above one who proposes big and bold changes, even if it means more division in the country. In comparison, thirty-five percent said they prefer the latter.

The NBC News/WSJ poll surveyed 1,000 registered voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

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Pres. Trump Leads in Iowa against Sanders and Biden

Fox News reported late this week on Iowa: “Trump leads Biden 51 percent to 41 percent and leads Sanders 53 percent to 41 percent in Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll results released Thursday.”

“The same poll, conducted March 2-5, also showed Trump with a 50 percent approval rating in Iowa – the president’s highest ever in the Hawkeye State, according to the Register. The president’s strongest support in Iowa was among Republicans (94 percent), rural Iowans (68 percent), evangelicals (63 percent), men (60 percent), and those with annual income of $100,000 or greater (57 percent).”

Iowa is a state that the Democrats need to pick up in order to win. It has voted Democrat every time since 1988, except 2004 and 2016. The Democrats want it back.

Iowa is in ways a microcosm of the entire country. It has urban centers like Des Moines, but also suburban and rural areas as well. The state, as noted above, has swung between the two parties and is ripe for picking by both sides.

This poll was also taken after the Democrat caucuses there when Democrat voter enthusiasm was at a high. In the Democratic Party the rifts are deep, as late results gave Sanders a win. But Biden’s subsequent surge puts those Sanders-voting Iowans out of the picture in November. Do they go with Biden, who they soundly rejected at the caucus, or go with the president who they voted for in 2016?

Given these numbers, their choice, so far, seems clear.

But November is months away and much can impact the vote until then. There is the coronavirus and the political and economic fallout from it. However, the president’s swift and decisive actions in the face of the virus may make Iowans, and many swing voters, give him credit for stopping the spread of the disease. It is likely both the Biden and Trump campaigns will spend time and money in this state in the fall. When they do, Biden will begin with a decided disadvantage.